Tropical Storm Cristobal has formed in the Bay of Campeche, and it’s the earliest in the year the ‘C’ storm has ever formed.

What the National Hurricane Center began calling Tropical Depression Three got its upgrade officially at 2 p.m. with 40 mph maximum sustained winds. It’s June 2, beating June 5, 2016 when Tropical Storm Colin formed.

The system is forecast to linger in the near the Mexican coast most of the week before beginning to move northward across the Gulf of Mexico by this weekend. It is too soon to specify the location and timing of any potential impacts along Florida or the rest of the Gulf Coast, although some long-range models want to develop a low-end Category 1 hurricane moving into southwest Louisiana by late in the weekend. But the NHC even admitted that its five-day track and intensity forecasts are “of low confidence”, aside from predicting heavy rains for Mexico, and the “spaghetti plots” of the computer models looks like a squashed spider.

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