A weak but persistent area of low pressure off Florida’s east coast is being closely monitored by meteorologists, as it continues to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms. The disturbance, located offshore the Atlantic coast near northern Florida, is expected to drift westward across the Florida Peninsula over the next 24 to 36 hours and enter the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by late Tuesday.

According to the National Hurricane Center, the system currently holds a 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within 48 hours, with a 30% chance over the next seven days. While the likelihood of it becoming a named storm remains low, the system could still undergo gradual development as it tracks west-northwest across the warm waters of the northeastern and north-central Gulf later this week.

Potential Impacts on Florida and Osceola County:

  • Heavy Rainfall: The main concern associated with this system will be widespread showers and thunderstorms, which could lead to localized flash flooding, particularly across Central Florida, including Osceola County.

  • Gusty Winds and Isolated Storms: While not currently expected to bring damaging winds, some stronger thunderstorms could produce gusty conditions, especially on Tuesday and Wednesday.

  • Flooding in Low-Lying Areas: With saturated ground in parts of Florida from recent rains, residents in flood-prone areas should remain alert and prepared for sudden downpours and potential flooding.

Whether or not the system strengthens into a tropical depression or storm, it serves as a reminder that tropical activity can impact the region with little notice—even without named storms. Residents are encouraged to monitor local forecasts and prepare for possible adverse weather conditions during the mid to latter part of the week.

Positively Osceola will continue to monitor this developing system and provide updates as needed.