Subtropical Storm Nicole will move into Florida as a strong tropical storm or a hurricane by Thursday, with coastal flooding, heavy rain and strong winds extending into other parts of the Southeast.

As Subtropical Storm Nicole begins to transition to a tropical storm and strengthen, the potential Category 1 hurricane’s projected path has shifted north with a landfall closer to Central Florida late Wednesday or early Thursday and a current path that could bring it closer to Osceola County, according to the National Hurricane Center.

As of the 7 a.m. National Hurricane Center update on Tuesday, Nicole is located about 385 miles east-northeast of the northwestern Bahamas and 520 miles east of Melbourne Beach, Florida, up now to 50 mph sustained winds and moving west-northwest at 8 mph. Forecasters expect the storm to turn west and even west-southwest into tonight, then toward the northwest on Thursday.