We may wake up to a Tropical Storm or subtropical Arthur in the morning. We’ll ask him to put on a mask and stay six feet away.

A trough of low pressure located over the Straits of Florida has been given an 80 percent chance of formation this weekend by the National Hurricane Center. This system continues to produce a large area of disorganized shower activity across the Florida Keys, south Florida, and the northwestern Bahamas.

“Gradual development of this system is still expected, and it will likely become a tropical or subtropical storm on Saturday when it is located near the northwestern Bahamas. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system is expected to move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic,” NHC forecaster John Cangialosi said in a 3 p.m. Special Tropical Weather Outlook.

If it does form it would be Subtropical Storm or Tropical Storm Arthur, the fifth year in a row the ‘A’ storm has formed prior to June 1, the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance tomorrow morning, if necessary. The NHC will give another update at 9 p.m.

For us locally, there is a chance of passing showers through the weekend, with generally breezy conditions thanks to the tropical system, which will stay to our east. If you’re thinking of boating in the Atlantic, hazardous marine conditions are expected along the Florida east coast, and gale warnings are in effect in the Bahamas.